>>39211 >Maybe protesters force Lukashenkos hand to resign though it takes some serious willpower.
He is pretty big guy with almost 30 years of experience. Considering that both EU and Russia aren't really against him, his position is pretty strong.
>>39225 >I thought Belarusian foreign policy had swung westward lately. But wouldn't that have pleased the westernizer opposition?
People from Belarus who I know don't really care about opposition, because it is pretty weak and mostly fake, it is more anti-Lukashenko than pro-opposition protest. Opposition candidates are truly nonames from nowhere.
As can be seen already, opposition leaders are mostly unnoticeable now and protest has no real leadership. It is pretty different than in Ukrainian case, where large part of parliament was on protesters side (and formed new government then). This is also a good reason for protest to fail.
There is also no true pro-west opposition, nor Lukashenko is pro-Russian. Belarus has open borders with Russia and pretty integrated economics, so any new leader will be forced to be pro-Russian anyway. It is also just a small country with population less than Moscow.