Bernd 04/22/2022 (Fri) 13:54:28 No.47320 del
>>47213
Elections in the weekend. About the 1st tour:
- Unsurprising: Macron and Le Pen to decide
- Surprising: Mélenchon doing much better than merdias prognosticated (ended up within 2% of the 2nd round); he's supposed to be a non-establishment socialist, which means the MSM treated him basically like lideral gommie
- Le Pen got significantly closer to Macron in the last few weeks of the 1st round
- Conversely, based conservative but zionist berber jewgoblin Zemmour dropped off a cliff
For the 2nd, Macron still most likely to win:
- Lots of candidates are just like exotic flavours in an ice-cream store. It is a stratagem: it is known that they have 0% chance of succeeding, but they are still offered in order to appeal to greatest possible share of voters, after inevitably failing in the 1st round they will all (or almost all) cast they support with the establishment candidate d'jour (Macron)
- Mélenchon voters unlikely to support Le Pen ("conservative nationalist" that spent the last several years compromising on most of the principles of the party she inherited from her father, in an effort to appeal to the same (((banker class))) that brought Macron to power). Also unlikely to support Macron much, but at worst for him that just leaves him with his current advantage over Le Pen
- Zemmour voters will support Le Pen but he didn't do very well so it might not be very significant
- Unsurprising: MSM treat Le Pen basically like the MSM treated Trump or more recently Orbán, and Mélenchon like the MAGAtards treat Biden: "russian agent this", "chinese agent that", "putin this", "xi that". Uninspired trite propaganda, its_all_so_tiresome.gif
- EU joined the fray last week accusing Le Pen of corruption and, thus, casting its coin towards Macron
- Just yesterday there was blatant foreign meddling with the PMs of Germany, Spain, and Portugal openly campaigning for Macron in the msm Le monde (!)
One thing that could have shaken things up was the economy. If shit hit the fan, it could have spur people to vote against Macron. The already existing economic problems were among the reasons why Le pen got closer to Macron. But precisely because of that EU is waiting until after the elections to decide whether to expand the economic war to russian energy (Macron is in favour). Also why France has been a bit less boisterous towards Russia with military supplies to Kiev. (Btw, Macron agreed with Putin in calling Russians and Ukrainians "brothers".) However, after the elections it is likely that this will shift to a harsher stance (for sure if Macron wins, a bit less likely if Le Pen wins, but even so after a while the "deep state" will probably get her to toe the line too): arming ukr might be sold, in part, as response for russian mercenaries operating in some african ex-colonies like Mali
Le Pen would offer a more sane immigration policy and possibly a more interesting and somewhat more sovereign foreign policy (for a few months until they get to her). The game is rigged, though, fat chance. There's also the issue of her two X chromosomes... just see Sweden and Binlan, dripping wet desperate to get their cunts conquered by the big fat NATO blob.