Bernd
02/16/2023 (Thu) 14:58
No.49827
del
>>49802I wonder where they can push. Northern Luhansk would hamper Russian logistics but that's it. Counterattacking the Russian pincers around Bakhmut would probably end badly, previous offensives have only succeeded in lightly guarded areas. The best they could hope would be prolonging the bloodbath inside the city, where casualty ratios are certainly in the Russian favor now that it's hard to get reinforcements and supplies in. They could also attack somewhere else in the Donbass, but it's likely too fortified. And striking in the south towards Melitopol would potentially be the war-winning offensive, but can they pull it off? The terrain is like Kherson, which the Russians could hold at a cost, but unlike Kherson there's no easy way to interdict Russian logistics. Russia can "win" this war into a stalemate if they're not stupid.
>>49817>Have the cost reached Ukraine's annual GDP yet?The cost increases as fast as Ukraine's GDP plummets, they'll meet sooner or later.