Bernd
11/14/2023 (Tue) 17:01
No.51257
del
Heard some stuff about the circus around the grain deal.
So now our govt. says that the EU and member countries such as Hungary, accepted laws and regulations about banning GMOs and various pesticides. On the other hand on the Ukraine these are perfectly legal (they say Ukraine uses latest USian technology). This means three things: 1. cheaper production; 2. larger yield; 3. potential health hazard. So according to our govt. they have not just easier time to compete with local products, but those mean safety issues as well.
This article:
https://www.producer.com/markets/ukraine-becomes-major-grain-player/... says Ukrainian grain, oilseeds, and pulses (apparently these are legumes, such as beans, lentils and such) production is steadily growing (and will grow). And according to US department of agriculture the grain does so. Now the war slowed things down I bet.
>Ukraine’s grain, oilseed and pulse production has steadily risen to an estimated 100 million tonnes in 2021-22, up from 9.5 million tonnes 20 years ago.>Nikolay GorbachovCool.
>“A group of traders think the wheat crop could be up to 35 million tonnes,” said Gorbachov. “In that case we can export 25 to 27 million tonnes.”>He is forecasting 37 million tonnes of corn but it could climb as high as 40 million, resulting in a 34- to 35-million-tonne export program.While these are forecasts, they tell us that most of Ukraine's production goes to export. There is a nice graph in the article.
>A crop of 113 million tonnes would result in 79 million tonnes of exports.Ah.
>Gorbachov said there used to be legitimate concerns about Ukraine’s ability to move that much grain to overseas markets but the logistical issues have been addressed.This is 2021. When the ports were still safe.
>Ukraine has about a dozen ports but Mykolaiv, Chornomorsk, Pivdenniy and Odessa account for 93 percent of total grain exports. New grain export terminals have been built at the ports and there are more to come.
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