Erdogan has met Putin and ironed out the partition of northeastern Syria. He gets to keep everything he conquered and the rest stays with Assad. YPG retreats from a 30km strip along the border, leaving the bulk of Kurdish-populated areas. Russo-Turkish patrols guard the safe zone. The deal shows two things: By inviting Assad the SDF have completely relinquished their sovereignty. This was why they were so relutanct to receive aid during Olive Branch. As long as Erdogan maintains good relations with Assad and Putin, YPG will no longer bother him. If, however, relations sour then he can even expect a repeat of the 90s, when Hafez sheltered Ocalan and allowed PKK to use Syria as its base of operations. The deal was discussed with Putin, not Assad. It's also clear who calls the shots.
For locals conquered by Peace Spring, the problem is not Turkey itself but its Syrian rebel puppets, who are thugs and mistreat the population, as has already been the case in Afrin. For the war as a whole, peace is now closer. Once Idlib is sorted out, a simple deal with Turkey can grant Assad the whole country except for al-Tanf.
>>40117 What made me post it was what I found it in the Preface of the 2016 Edition. all through the years to the last coup recorded in 2015, the essence of the coup d’état has remained exactly the same: it is a special form of politics that requires guns as an aid to persuasion, although coups rarely succeed if guns are much used and fail totally if the situation degenerates into civil war—the polar opposite of the swift and bloodless coup d’état. Made me think that a failure of a coup doesn't just mean it didn't succeed and the people whom they wanted to remove from power will remain, there are other consequences for the act; and yes a civil war is a failure of grand proportion (even if the side wins which started the coup). And your topic is a very successful putsch, and now I'm thinking those Brazilian officers really did know what they were doing (in a theoretical sense; they might had very incomplete information what is going on out in the field about them and as a consequence they might were very unsure what their next step should be), and avoiding bloodshed was a top priority.
>>40121 It seems to be a study of coup d'etats, by a military historian. I haven't read much of anything but I'm expecting he author dissecting the topic, and making generalized observations based on individual cases. Here's the short contents: 1. What Is the Coup d’État? 2. When Is a Coup d’État Possible? 3. The Strategy of the Coup d’État 4. The Planning of the Coup d’État 5. The Execution of the Coup d’État
Well I skimmed through the Wikipee article of the 2012 Malian coup, it didn't go as smooth as this year's, they couldn't really seize the president, they needed about two weeks to make him resign. I wanna know more about this, but only this much I could afford today.
What's up with these Malian names? >Amadou Toumani Touré Touman was a Hun khan, the first one who unified the steppe people in Asia. >Soumaïla Cissé Well, Soumi = Finland, and soumalainen = Finnish.
Today we celebrate and glorify Pedro II's overthrow in a military coup 129 years ago, marking our transformation into a banana republic. The strongman who led the coup is even in every 25 cent coin. As typical, Temer spoke about the virtues and strength of liberal democracy even though the Braganza were more liberally democratic than the following regimes.
>>39547 >It was, however, militarily weak. Now that I started to browse the Luttwak book, it made me wonder if the units all over were kept low on crew and war material partially as an anti-coup measure (beside economical considerations) - with the exception of the School-Unit Group, which might have kept as a unit to counter the others if necessary (beside the training considerations). >Weapons were purchased from Czechoslovakia This big independence the states enjoy in Brazil? They can negotiate deals with foreign actors? Especially arm deals?
>>40118 In this time period when they investigated the subject in 1963 they found several conspiracies already underway. Later they helped organized the dispatch of fuel tankers. From the other side the Czechoslovak secret service had some activity in the same period.
>>40136 >if the units all over were kept low on crew and war material partially as an anti-coup measure (beside economical considerations) Up to the 60s the logic was to concentrate firepower in the south and in Rio. The former as it bordered the Argentine Army. The latter because it was the capital, and reining in the military must've been a component of that. Goulart's apparatus concentrated reliable officers in Rio, too, and it's not unsafe to assume previous governments had a similar policy. But Minas Gerais was unreliable because it was weak, not weak because it was unreliable. Mourão Filho was the least trustworthy general and hence given the weakest Division. >with the exception of the School-Unit Group, which might have kept as a unit to counter the others if necessary The "anti-coup unit" would probably be the 1st Infantry Division itself. Once it was committed and a second front appeared the School-Unit Group was dispatched. In Sergeants' Revolt in 63 paratroopers were employed when an immediate iron-fisted reaction was needed. And within Rio itself marines were the regime's muscle. >This big independence the states enjoy in Brazil? They can negotiate deals with foreign actors? Especially arm deals? It's one author that mentions it. Might be vestigial state independence from the pre-1930 time, when São Paulo could even train its state army with French advisors.
>>40129 >And your topic is a very successful putsch, and now I'm thinking those Brazilian officers really did know what they were doing (in a theoretical sense; they might had very incomplete information what is going on out in the field about them and as a consequence they might were very unsure what their next step should be) What was really decisive wasn't a meticulously planned conspiracy but that the political climate developed to a point where the uninvolved would all either defect or retreat with no resistance. In Minas Gerais the plot was tightly woven allowing a swift takeover but it was just an island in an "archipelago" of regional conspiracies which were only connected near the very end. In some garrisons, notably the 5th Infantry Division, the rebels weren't just off on the date by a few days (as in Rio de Janeiro) but very aloof and caught by surprise. A rebellion was already what they wanted so they switched sides as soon as conditions were favorable (it was a weak garrison). This was in part from many efforts to legitimize an action against the government, and from the government itself ruining its image with the officer class. In this field the action of organizations such as IPES, which besides influencing public opinion opened covert channels of contact between oppositionist elites and officers, played the years-long game of preparing the ground. >and avoiding bloodshed was a top priority.
>>40171 Since I found Luttwak's book I'm trying to view this topic from other angle. Granted since I have read barely anything right now I'm reading another book, but will finish it soon and start this one this new perspective is lacking a bit. By the 1964 coup, Brazil already went through 6 or 7, some was successful, some were foiled. At least Wikipee list that many, and one when Vargas couped himself somehow, funny notion. They had experience with this and preparing against could have been as natural as thinking it as a normal way of changing power. Do any of your sources - especially the Oral History - reflect anything about how they thought about coup as a tool?
>>40173 >By the 1964 coup, Brazil already went through 6 or 7, some was successful, some were foiled Then two more in the following years: Costa e Silva pressuring Castelo Branco to accept him as his successor in 1965, and the moderate President's countercoup on the hardliner Minister of the Army in 1977. Both successful. The latter was less of a countercoup against a mounting coup, and more of triggering a coup when the countercoup was already in place, ensuring its failure. There'd been for a while but the Minister wasn't really constructing a proper conspiracy. He was called by the President and fired; in the next 12 hours he tried to improvise a coup, launching a manifesto against the process of thaw, invoking the reds, and summoning commanders. As the moderates had planned this in advance and had all their pieces in place, it was immediate checkmate and by nighttime the Minister gave up. >Do any of your sources - especially the Oral History - reflect anything about how they thought about coup as a tool? Legitimacy - There was an interesting exchange between a legalist commander and a rebel emissary, the former insisted on his legal duties and the latter, with the example of previous coups and revolutions, arguing that such duties become void with an illegitimate government. Other times this is framed as between legal duty and duty to the fatherland. One interviewee mentions how a coup d'état is the military's way of expressing discontent. And there's a strong emphasis on popular support as necessary for a legitimate coup. Luck - the balance of power is influenced by the random fluctuations of military life. Commanders might be away on vacation leaving subordinates from the other side in charge. In some units conscripts will be well trained, deep into their cycle, while in others they'll be recently incorporated. To some extent can be addressed. Commanders with recent troops can subject them to accelerated training. If they keep their sharp they'll have the advantage when the crisis comes. Cohesion - if a general is undecided or on the other side, his subordinates can arrest him or take over, but this will leave scars in military discipline and unity in the year to come - this was the case in the 30s. Ideally subordinates should apply pressure to commanders and units should pick a side as a whole. Distributing information - an untrustworthy regiment can be dispatched without information. Within one's own garrison, however, not taking a public stand will just create confusion and division. One can make the stand, let the opposition speak and arrest it, make the stand and not leave any room for the opposition to appear, or ask everyone from the lowest to the highest rank (the order can matter).
"Poor people, especially in the spring when other foods were scarce, have sometimes subsisted on foliage such as collard and poke greens, usually made more palatable by cooking them with flavorings, such as a little bacon grease and lots of salt. "
Vegetables, plants and especially spices contains toxins for humans. Only thing I use for flavouring is a liberal amount of salt.
This is something that isn't logical to me. From what i've read, the ottomans was a bunch of nomads invading anatolia, tamerlane defeated them soundly, they managed to take Constantinople and then became the big threat to christianity. How did they do it? How could they raise so much men, hundreds of thousands, time and time again?
>‘Economic growth’ is widely regarded as a key goal of economic policy, not only across the political spectrum but also in all countries. How did the pursuit of growth become the essential goal of policy-making and a key priority taken for granted among social scientists, politicians, and the general public?
>>40178 Fun thing that much of that economical growth is not perceivable in any way, only on charts and numbers written on whatever statistics and presentations. And the hills of trash piling up signalling the result of consuming for economic growth.
>>40170 When we think of technology most see it as a machine or a tool. Jacques Ellul saw it as technique, a force of nature, a view of the world always striving for efficiency. The machines itself are irrelevant to the worldview. So for examples, there are some demonstration somewhere, and someone light up a car. There will be an outcry over the burned car but no reaction that the police broke somehands arm or of the protest itself. We have replaced god, nature and holy things and instead we are worshiping technology.
And I see Rome the same way, everything they did was for technique, they wanted to subjugate nature, always strove towards more efficiency. Everything was standardized. The boats was standardized, the weapons, the training, the streets, the buildings.
Prokuratura potwierdza: POLICJANT DROGÓWKI BYŁ PIJANY. ZNALEZIONO TEŻ NARKOTYKI
Jak potwierdza Prokuratura Rejonowa w Myszkowie w piątek 7 sierpnia doszło do zatrzymania policjanta z myszkowskiej drogówki, podejrzewanego o jazdę samochodem pod wpływem alkoholu. Po zatrzymaniu Wojciecha W. pod jego domem w Jaworzniku okazało się, że policjant ma przy sobie również narkotyki, które próbował przed zatrzymaniem ukryć w skrzynce gazowej przy posesji.
The previous thread is at 499 posts, on the brink of autosage. So I open up a new one, because I have a thing to discuss as well with Bernd. But first thing first.
Finally I wanna watch these in their entirety, a series of Japanese films from the 70s The Yakuza Papers or Battles Without Honor And Humanity - which is also the title of the very first one. I think the first five (what I'm planning on consuming) cover one full story, based on an OG yak's memoirs, published in a newspaper first. Then they made another three in the 70s, all standalone, and three more, two of them in this millennia. They are in a certain subgenre of yakuza movies, which were fresh breeze at that time with their more realistic narrative and breakup with the "honorable samurai" romanticism of the previous era. They are also filmed in a documentary style, with handheld shaky cameras, and sometimes they even timestamp certain events as the movie plays - as far as I can tell based on the first one which I seen (but will rewatch).
>>40162 Thanks for the feedback. I will work on it and post an update later\
>What mascots did you think of?
I guess it would be anyone who's willing to add a picture for their board here, or in the /operate/ thread for it. I'm only seeing these boards on the top, but anyone's able to contribute tbh. There's around 8 spots available, with 2 extra ones for the fishes outside the submarine
Let me see:
/ausneets/ - an abo /b/ - grey anon and also the main stand in for Bill Murray /bbg/ - the girl that always shows up on their feed? /kc/ - Spede either the guy with the pink scarf to the left or the blowfish /imouto/ & /yuri/ - anime girl? /argentina/ - idk /404/ - either a ghost or the penguin
I need some help publishing, and distributing,my book. I want to first distribute it trough the deep web to coat it into an area of mystery and legend. how do I upload it to the deep web? Once that's done,I want to sell the kindle on amazon;how do I make it be seen,among so many other titles? the book will be called"the book of True Skill",and is a self-help guide promoting cold water therapy,fasting,nofap, a Regimen of excercises,among other things. it's meant to be agressive,blunt,and life-changing. im still researching and trying to interview people for it.
>>34008 >the book will be called"the book of True Skill",and is a self-help guide promoting cold water therapy,fasting,nofap, a Regimen of excercises,among other things. it's meant to be agressive,blunt,and life-changing. >im still researching and trying to interview people for it.
I would interview the people and get all the info that you can beforehand. Because people will call you out on anything you ask online and ask for the proofs
First thing first: That dude of the Primitive Technology channel and all his copycats have a great advantage: access to unlimited supply of bamboo. Unlimited to their objectives. That stuff is great, tuff as shit, light as feather, can be used to many purpose with little modification and not too much work.
I also read most of this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Data_Protection_Regulation#Responsibility_and_accountability I think technology and it's use are running forward and lawmakers lag behind. Those who spent any time in the past two decades on the internet have a giant heap of data about them. I think Bernd posted a video about a security eggsbert, I think he works kind of a private investigator many time cooperating with officials and he said in that video anonymizing data worth nothing it can be de-anonymized with ease, and both companies and govt agencies do. Now this law was passed at 2016. This year the EU countries have to start implementing it. Who knows how long it takes until it finishes. The whole stuff is kinda vague (it can be modified when necessary tho), and I don't know for example how the EU can force a foreign company to do whatever? There are sanctions but what jurisdiction the EU has over a US based firm for example Facebook and how the EU will force the sanctions onto for example said company?
Berdn, how would we make one? Well, actually I have an idea how, and I can put it into practice, make a website out of it, or at least a html based application. It would be very simple, some nice background, made from a Chinese style wallpaper grabbed from some wallpaper site, in the middle there would be picrel, a field for the generated text, and a GENERATE button. The JS powering it would select words from lists based on a wisdom template. I need held with the templates(s) and the word lists. Ofc I don't mind if Bernd would chip in with the code, but I think that part is the least of the problem.
The wisdom template would be example sentences, where each word could be exchanged to another from the lists related to the word. For example: "A sleepy tiger is the wind of the rice field" so based on this the pattern would be: [adjective][eastern zodiac sign][one of the elements][noun] with changing the elements - each based on a list, we would get: "The funny rat is the earth of the tea pot"
After creating the templates, and lists, the script would randomly pick a template, then randomly pick each element of it. Well, this is one way to do it, I have another idea of implementation, gonna get back to this in the evening.
>>40142 The second way of doing that would be branching from the first word. The category of the first word would decide what the second will be, and the second word's category would decide the third and so on. But we horribly need the dictionary.
>>40116 We don't really have rules beside the global ones traditions/customs are different things, but the problem with you isn't about the rules.
>>40122 >urban dictionary They have this "word of the day" thingy where they feature a word with the explanation/definition, this year, maybe since that BLM bs it's frequently something to do with American politics, anti-Trump or gender stuff. Very disappointing. I don't go there to trying to get influenced. I care little about American politics, I just want to understand lingo.
The boiling meat burned itself I'm not happy of the results. Now the house smells like shit and the meat will be given to the dogs. Good thing is, when going to the meatshop to buy steaks (because the thing that was boiling got its water evaporated), my complete overboard thinking on the ruined meal allowed me to talk to a nice looking girl. But still, the meat is completely ruined. My mother was supposed to eat that. Talk here about ocurrances in your life, good, bad and memetic
>>40088 Giving advice is easy, fighting our fight is hard. For you, for me, for any one of us here and for keinbernds as well, the feels the same, without knowing particularities - which can be very different, but in a way very similar.
>>40033 I think he is wrong and I will tell you why that is.
In his paper on plagues he wasn't just wrong on one thing, it was pretty much the whole paper just telling straight up lies.
The black plague wasn't caused by burning coal releasing mercury. People weren't using coal to heat their homes 800 years ago. What was happening 800 years ago was a solar minimum causing temperatures to drop, causing widespread crop failures and vulcano eruptions making it even worse.
It's the same thing with polio, aajonus claims it's the tinned cans causing it, whilst completely ignoring DDT.
What aajonus were spouting and drake isn't science. Science is honesty, objectivity and logical reasoning.
How would aajonus explain the Antonine plague? Plague of justinian? Perhaps these bloody romans were burning coal too.
My point is, if a person deliberately lies about something, you can be sure they will lie about other things aswell to suit their agenda.
>>40036 I'm not a professional in this field, so I won't pretend to be one/argue for or against Aajonus here. I would generally lean towards the Solar Minimum being the reasoning for these specific plagues too. >My point is, if a person deliberately lies about something, you can be sure they will lie about other things aswell to suit their agenda. This is a begging the question fallacy (assuming they're deliberately lying about this and deliberately ignoring DDT) and an appeal to association fallacy (if they lie about one thing they'll likely lie about other things; no analysis was done of everything else here). Again all of this comes from Aajonus, and he was fairly new to Aajonus's works at that. Rejecting years of scholarship and a development of epistemology, theology, and political solutions as false just due to a vague association with Aajonus's theory regarding historical plagues without actually looking into them and refuting them is extremely dishonest, especially as I know you're a novice regarding theology.
Played some moar Atom RPG. I don't really have any coherent text drafted but some impressions, moments and such.
This game is depressing. It's like they extracted all the misery of the Soviet Union, ground it, added a hint mutants and monsters, then crammed it into one misery-sausage. Ofc there are funny lines and situations in there, always when you least expect. And you never expect them because the whole thing is so depressing. NPC interactions are animated nicely. Heart warming meeting of father and daughter. Then they started to gossip about me.
Your onions about the new "BG"? Original BG trilogy is what got me into RPGs and DnD and I love it so not very keen on the idea of Larian studios using the BG name for their new DnD IP instead of making their own. The story of Bhaal and Bhaalspawn is over already after all.
Already know that the quality of the game will suffer from focus on co-op and twitch integrity but I personally hope that they ditch the cartoony looks of DOS, mundane abilities having flashy effects, dumb humor and etc. They worked for DOS 2 but won't fit on a more serious DnD game.
If they don't and the game ends up being only OK at best at least Owlcat is making a new Pathfinder and hasn't caved in to the demands of turn-based combat console casuals who got into the genre with XCOM and DOS 2.
>>40104 I personally liked DOS1 and I think DOS2 which I'm currently playing is a brilliant game, so I'm having high hopes for BG3. However, I don't expect it to be actual BG3, as you mentioned the story of Bhaalspawn is finished and it's also done by a completely different team. Rather I expect just a good game set in Forgotten Realms universe done by people who I think are competent. I think I know what you mean by the humour and cartoony looks and I had a feeling they toned it down a lot in DOS2 compared to their previous Divinity games. There are gameplays avaiable online of the game, did you watch any?
>>40106 I am currently replaying DOS 2 and they indeed toned down the humor and cartooney looks a bit(some of those skeletal enemies were super memey). However a lot of it remained. Also wasn't a fan of their attempt as town building, which I fear they'll be taking to BG 3.
I did watch some combat gameplay and it seems almost identical to DOS2. No per rest spells/abilities(no resting at all in fact), no limited ammunition for projectile weapons though enchanted ammunition is making a comeback, exaggerated cartooney flashy melee combat and etc.
>About 33 million Americans — 10.1% of the total population — identified as being Irish in the 2017 American Community Survey conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau. >This compares with a population of 6.5 million people on the island of Ireland.
Stufe 1: Zorn >verbringt seine ganze Zeit auf /pol/ > komplette rassistische >hasst Schwarze Menschen >einsam und nachtragend >hasst das Leben und findet Bedeutung durch die Verbindung zur rassenidentität
Stufe 2: Schade >Entfremdung Laufwerke /pol/ anon tiefer in die isolation und porno-sucht > Tabus werden attraktiv > Dschungelfieber spam beginnt eine Wirkung zu haben > beginne Aufbocken zu interracial WMBF porno >Schande, sich von den anti-weißen Perversionen Laufwerk, die /int/ anon tiefer in shitposting und isolation
Stufe 3: Geben In >in der Einsamkeit, geilheit, und Pure Langeweile /pol/ anon Haken mit einem Schwarzen Mädchen >aber schüchtern und nervös ist, der moment seiner whitoid dick betritt, schwarze Mund, die /pol/ anon ist süchtig
IT STANDS! IT STANDS! Finally, I carved the third hole out and fitted the leg. The one alone is a little longer than the other two, probably all the three will never be the same length but that's ok, I'm planning to use it in the garden where we don't have a square feet flat surface... It's a little rickety for now, the two legs in the pair moves a bit, but not that much I could flatten the surface of the table with a chisel fine (now if I place a cube on it, it won't roll down). My plan to fix the little movement it has is to install "crossbeams", which will fix the legs in place relative to each other. First I wanna debark the legs, then carve slots for the crossbeams on them, then make the crossbeams, then oil the whole thing, then put together, and finally drill holes in the legs at the crossbeams to fix it together with pegs.
Began with the supporting sticks which will give the structural rigidity to make that table steady. Just a hazel sapling bout thumb thick, cut into three pieces. The shortest will be somewhat higher where its length will be sufficient. The lowest bar will connect the thinnest leg with the lone one, that was I tried to find the height for. The problem will be keeping the chisel in the right angle to carve the slot for the stick. Probably will have to drill through first and follow that hole. However I first I'll have to find the place to carve, so will re-string it so the cord will stretch at the center line of the legs. I picked a 10 mm thick chisel, a 10 mm wide hole will be enough. Another point of potential failure is the stick's crookedness. It will serve fine, but it's not that easy to make the flat ends parallel.
>>40055 Somewhere, someone sure. Nothing new under the Sun. Not sure if the shape is advantageous. Once I built an open birdfeeder, was basically a tray where I dumped seeds and walnuts and such and it had a wider roof.
It was a long time ago when this thread was alive, and decided finally to upload the whole thing again. Let's start with the template and the original for historical purposes: it was created by a French Bernd in the late summer of 2016, then I'll dump the whole thin in alphabetical order.
Melbourne is being reshaped by sweeping enforcement and fine print. A confounding matrix of hefty fines for disobedience to the lockdown and minor exceptions for everything from romantic partners to home building has led to silenced streets and endless versions of the question: So, wait, can I ____?
>>39914 What's the name of that genre. Reminding me some 60-70s hippy music, but also would kinda expect to appear in Pulp Fiction or something. And in French.
Had a recommendation from this channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/IdelUralState/videos Some samples: https://youtube.com/watch?v=q5LX3vjFr44 [Embed] https://youtube.com/watch?v=jN7BKc11Fqg [Embed] https://youtube.com/watch?v=7lenBynJkSg [Embed] They also host some non music videos: https://youtube.com/watch?v=NkppxodNxvY [Embed]